Darren Krett
Monday 22 January 2024
Netflix Earnings Trades
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Darren Krett
Tuesday 23 January 2024
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So here we are again….everyone’s favorite trading stock Tesla has its quarterly earnings. Now while our system does not give you a direction, it will tell you the best option trade based on your view. Up/down, vol up or vol down..I can show you what to do.
Looking at the chart, while I could easily see a push-up to the trendline at around $222, but it still looks like the overall trend is bearish.
chart doesn't look that great![]
So to represent this (a short term move up followed by a rejection and move lower) I am running a very short-term upside play, with a more medium-term downside one.
My upside trade is targeting the following; $222 target with a bit of wiggle room
So BB1 came up with the following list based off my $222 target with a 221/224 range to make money
Out of the list I chose the 215/222.5/230 call fly 90 times(contracts)... at around 94 cents its not a bad upside punt, just bear in mind that this is a 3 day option...either you'll be laughing or it will be a total loss..this would be the P&L of that trade...
The downside trade is looking our days from now, give or take ( our system will not specify an exact point unless you ask it to, because in the real world that rarely happens) with a target RANGE of $170 to $180
here's my target price range, date range and volatility range
and out of this,I went for...... the 160/170/180/190 put condor
the 160/170/180/190 put condor and its component parts
Just check out the heat map...a lot of green... your downside play heat map
the system is taking advantage of the increased put skew to show that this is relatively cheap and on a risk/reward basis is probably the best trade to do
the 5 & 10 delta puts are a little rich
Darren Krett
Monday 22 January 2024
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Darren Krett
Monday 31 October 2022
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