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BlogsEND OF DAY REPORT MAY 3rd

Fed Chair Powell (Q&A): Says decision on a pause was not made today, statement change today was meaningful today, will be driven by incoming data and meeting my meetingMORNING MINUTE EQUITIES, FUTURES & OPTIONS MAY 4th

Darren Krett

Wednesday 3 May 2023

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END OF DAY REPORT MAY 3rd

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closing report

HIGHLIGHTS

An unknown drone has crashed in the vicinity of Kolomna, Moscow Region, according to Mash cited by Faytuks 
Earlier, the Russian Kremlin said it foiled a drone attack on President Putin's presidential residence. Subsequently, Russia said Moscow reserves the right to take retaliatory measures as it deems appropriate in response to the attempt to target the Kremlin, according to Sky News Arabia
Russia Parliament speaker demands Kyiv regime be destroyed after the drone attack on the Kremlin
Federal Reserve hikes rates by 25bps to 5.00-5.25% as expected
 opens door to rate hike pause, drops language it anticipates more policy firming may be appropriate to attain sufficiently restrictive stance In determining extent to which additional policy firming may be appropriate, it will take into account tightening to date, policy lags and other developments.
 US Banking system is sound and resilient. 
Tighter credit conditions likely to weigh on the economy, hiring and inflation. Job gains have been robust, inflation remains elevated.
 Will continue reducing balance sheet as planned. Vote was unanimous
Fed Chair Powell says focus remains on dual mandate, we are committed to bringing inflation back down to 2%
Fed Chair Powell says activity in housing sector remains weak, labour market remains very tight, there are some signs that supply and demand in labour market are coming back into better balance, nominal wage growth has shown some signs of easing 
Fed Chair Powell says we will take a data dependent approach to determine extend of further rate hikes
Fed Chair Powell (Q&A): Says decision on a pause was not made today, statement change today was meaningful today, will be driven by incoming data and meeting my meeting
Fed Chair Powell says we are prepared to do more if it is warranted, remain committed to bringing inflation back down to 2% goal
Fed Chair Powell (Q&A): Hard to predict how much credit tightening will replace need for any further rate hikes; assessing the extent to which firmer policy will be needed will be ongoing and meeting by meeting Credit tightening complicates that assessment and adds uncertainty. 
FED Fed Chair Powell (Q&A): Says many banks are now attending to liquidity, financial stability tools and monetary policy tools are working well together 
Fed Chair Powell (Q&A): Debt ceiling did come up in discussion and they talked about debt limit issue as a risk to the outlook, but it was not important in today's policy decision 
Fed Chair Powell (Q&A) says staff forecast is independent of Fed policymakers and says the forecast from Fed staff was for a mild recession, staff forecasts at this meeting were broadly similar to March forecasts
Fed Chair Powell (Q&A) when asked about what they will be looking at between now and June, says a particular focus now and going forward is what is happening with credit tightening

SUMMARY

Even though JPOW indicated that they didnt even discuss a pause today, that didnt stop the market implying even more aggressive cutting and turn around as soon as Spetember. We will be discussing this over the next week on the website, so stay tuned in :)

MARKET SNAPSHOT

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TODAYS NUMBERS

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ON THE TICKET TOMORROW

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"Sell in May and go away" is looking like a good piece of advice at the moment! DONT LOOK UNDER THE HOOD!! Banks get trounced agai

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